
2026 NCAA Tournament Winner
Duke
21%
Michigan
20%
$10.9m Vol.

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by...?
December 31
74%
June 30
52%
$598k Vol.

US forces enter Iran by..?
December 31
63%
March 31
30%
$15.9m Vol.

Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
26%
chance
$978k Vol.

Netanyahu out by...?
December 31
44%
June 30
14%
$38.6m Vol.

Will Trump visit China by...?
June 30
80%
May 31
74%
$5.4m Vol.

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit__ by end of March?
↑ $90
100%
↑ $80
100%
$38.1m Vol.

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
11%
chance
$11.4m Vol.

US x Iran ceasefire by...?
December 31
71%
June 30
56%
$20.5m Vol.

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
26%
chance
$551k Vol.

US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?
21%
chance
$1.0m Vol.

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?
Republican Party
51%
Democratic Party
48%
$989k Vol.

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
30%
chance
$18.7m Vol.

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
J.D. Vance
39%
Marco Rubio
27%
$431.4m Vol.

Presidential Election Winner 2028
JD Vance
21%
Gavin Newsom
18%
$423.6m Vol.

UEFA Champions League Winner
Arsenal
28%
Bayern Munich
22%
$292.3m Vol.

US recession by end of 2026?
31%
chance
$659k Vol.

Iran leadership change by...?
December 31
62%
April 30
37%
$8.7m Vol.

Brazil Presidential Election
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
44%
Flávio Bolsonaro
39%
$27.2m Vol.

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by...?
December 31
84%
June 30
71%
$6.3m Vol.