US forces enter Iran by..?

US forces enter Iran by..?

$15,977,057 Vol.
Outcome
% Chance
December 31
December 31
$2,486,806 Vol.
64%
March 31
March 31
$11,415,882 Vol.
32%

Rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Iran at any point by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Military special operation forces will qualify, however intelligence operatives will not count. US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Iran to qualify. Entering Iran's maritime or aerial territory will not count. Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Iran for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
December 31
December 31
Balance: $0
$
To Win
Avg Price 64¢
$156.00