
James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026?
9%
chance
$111k Vol.

West Bengal Legislative Assembly Election Winner
AITC
53%
BJP
48%
$5.3m Vol.

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by...?
December 31
60%
June 30
20%
$1.2m Vol.

What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in May 2026?
↑ $100
100%
↑ $90
100%
$3.6m Vol.

US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?
June 30
38%
May 31
22%
$68.5m Vol.

Iran closes its airspace by...?
May 31
42%
May 8
14%
$113k Vol.

Cuban regime falls in 2026?
21%
chance
$189k Vol.

Fed Decision in June?
No change
96%
25 bps decrease
4%
$16.1m Vol.

Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
38%
chance
$200k Vol.

Maine Senate Election Winner
Democrat
74%
Republican
28%
$90k Vol.

Largest Company end of June?
NVIDIA
69%
Alphabet
29%
$8.7m Vol.

Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?
5%
chance
$321k Vol.

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?
June 30
69%
May 31
45%
$29.5m Vol.

Kash Patel out by...?
December 31
68%
June 30
41%
$1.0m Vol.

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
20%
chance
$4.7m Vol.

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?
May 31
34%
May 22
19%
$10.4m Vol.

2026 NBA Champion
Oklahoma City Thunder
56%
San Antonio Spurs
20%
$359.6m Vol.

2026 FIFA World Cup Winner
France
16%
Spain
15%
$877.0m Vol.

Eurovision Winner 2026
Finland
34%
Greece
19%
$124.0m Vol.

Presidential Election Winner 2028
JD Vance
22%
Gavin Newsom
17%
$562.6m Vol.